Is Solo Finished at the Box Office, or Can It Win One More Weekend?

While Disney’sSolo: A Star Wars Storyhad no trouble coming away with abox officewin over the Memorial Day holiday weekend, the movie made more headlines for how it failed to impress, underperforming with a three-day tally of $84.4 million and a four-day Memorial Day holiday weekend total of $103 million. TheStar Warsspin-off had the extended holiday weekend all to itself in its debut, but this weekend it will face three newcomers, STX Entertainment’sAdrift, Paramount’s comedyAction Pointand Blumhouse Tilt’s thrillerUpgrade, neither of which will usurpSolo, or evenDeadpool 2, most likely, for what could be a rather tame weekend. We’re predictingSolowill come out on top with $39.7 million.

Solo: A Star Wars Storydebuted in 4,381 theaters, thefifth-widest release of all time, behindThe Dark Knight Rises(4,404 theaters),The Twilight Saga: Eclipse(4,468 theaters),Avengers: Infinity War(4,474 theaters) andDespicable Me 3(4,529 theaters). It likely won’t drop any theaters this weekend, andconsidering how much it underperformed, it may even attempt to add a few theaters, but none of the competition will come close to the 4,381 theatersSolois currently playing in.

Of the new releases, STX’sAdriftwill get the widest opening with 3,015 theaters, whileAction Pointwill open in an estimated 2,000 theaters andUpgradeis slated for a debut in around 1,400 theaters. OnlyUpgradecurrently has enough reviews to warrant a TomatoMeter score on Rotten Tomatoes, and it has the critics' approval for now with an impressive 85% rating on RT. It remains to be seen how the critics will respond toAdriftandAction Point, but none of the new releases will giveSoloorDeadpool 2a run for their money. We’re predicting thatSolowill lead the way with $39.7 million, followed byDeadpool 2with $26.5 million, with the top 5 rounded out byAvengers: Infinity Warin third with $12.6 million,Adriftin fourth with $8.3 million andBook Clubin fifth with $6.4 million.

We’re predicting the top 10 will be rounded out byAction Point($5.8 million),Upgrade($3.6 million),Life of the Party($3.1 million),Breaking In($2.8 million) andShow Dogs($2 million). Also opening in limited release this weekend is The Orchard’sAmerican Animals, FilmRise’sBreath, IFC’sA Kid Like Jake, Cohen Media Group’sRodinand Vertical Entertainment’sSocial Animals. There is no indication as to whether or not these films will be expanding in the coming weeks and/or months.

Looking ahead to next weekend,Solo’s likelytwo-week run at the topwill probably come to an end, with a trio ofhigh-profilenewcomers hitting theaters. Warner Bros. will release its highly-anticipatedOcean’s Elevenspin-off entitledOcean’s Eight, alongside the Global Road action-thrillerHotel Artemisand A24’s thrillerHereditary. While no theater counts have been given yet,Ocean’s Eightwill likely get the widest release of the bunch and has been shaping up to be a sleeper hit of the summer. Take a look at our projected top 10 for the weekend of June 1, and check back Sunday for the top 10 estimates, courtesy ofBox Office Mojo.